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Thursday, 3 January 2013

Politics of oil sector deregulation


By Yemi Adamolekun 

Diezani Alison-Madueke













A year ago, Nigerians received a nasty New Year’s gift via a press release from the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency that subsidy on Premium Motor Spirit would seize after January 1.

Nigerian citizens as well as most government officials, including the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Coordinating Minister of the Economy and Minister of Finance were, as we were told, caught by surprise. Though there had been some discussions about removing the subsidy with the 2012 budget around April 2012, there were still ongoing consultations with various stakeholder-groups and the first of a series of town hall meetings had just held a few weeks before the President made the announcement in his nationwide address. Interestingly, the Minister of Finance, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, had tentatively agreed to a town hall meeting scheduled for January 22, 2012, to be hosted by Enough-is-Enough Nigeria, to engage young people on the issue.

Expectedly, Nigerians reacted swiftly with the first wave of protests starting on Monday, January 2, 2012, and this continued across the country under the banner of OccupyNigeria. The general strike which was called by the Nigeria Labour Congress started on Monday, January 9 through Friday, January 13, saw Nigerians come out en masse across the country in Kano (including women for the first time in history), Abuja, Akure, Lagos, Ibadan, and Kaduna to name a few. Sadly, lives were lost during the protests and no culpable government agent has yet been prosecuted. Labour hastily called off the strike on Sunday, January 15 following discussions with government officials but the government used military forces to forestall any other citizen-led action.

While the removal of the subsidy was the trigger, most Nigerians were clear that their concerns were on the cost of governance, and the waste and corruption in government, which were the crux of the lame excuses given to justify the removal. Why should the government not do anything about cleaning up its act yet continue to inflict sufferings on Nigerians at various levels? In a country that provides no social services and the average citizen provides all basic utilities — water, electricity, and security, the government cannot continue to rob us on all sides!

In her two appearances before the Senate joint committees on Appropriation, Finance and Petroleum Resources (Downstream) for the public hearing on “The Operations of the Fuel Subsidy Scheme in Nigeria, the Minister of Petroleum Resources, Diezani Alison-Madueke, presented the Federal Government’s position as follows:

“The fuel subsidy structure is inefficient, costing us N600bn ($3.75bn) in 2010 and N1.3 trillion ($8.125bn) from January – October 2011. The Federal Government cannot continue to pay as it’s unsustainable. By removing the subsidy, the savings will be used to provide critical infrastructure and services. Currently, only a small percentage of Nigerians (the marketers, middle and  Upper-class Nigerians) benefit. When removed, more Nigerians will benefit.”

In the aftermath of the January protests, four committees were set up by the Minister of Petroleum Resources; the President set up a technical committee; the Senate and the House of Representatives conducted their own investigations. While each report has been shrouded in controversy, the undisputed fact is that the regime is corrupt and inefficient with guilty parties in the public and private sectors. The total bill for 2011 was now N2.09tn ($13.4bn) and 2012 approximately N1.05tn ($6.8bn).

We protested last year against government waste and corruption, yet in a lot of ways, things have only got worse: a) there’s now fuel scarcity and most Nigerians don’t buy PMS at N97 per litre. Most NNPC retail stations don’t even sell; b) large sums of money continue to turn up missing; c) no one has yet to be prosecuted for the many cases of fraud unravelled by the probes; d) the 2013 budget proposals show no lessons learnt from the issues raised in 2012 – duplication across agencies and line items that can’t be supported; and e) impunity at all levels of government to name a few. On the flip side, Nigerians became more aware and it showed that when pushed to the wall, Nigerians will react.

In the sector itself, there are lots of unresolved issues:

•No one knows the exact amount the NNPC makes or the exact amount of fuel consumed per day in Nigeria, so figures remain estimates.

•Why does the NNPC still get 445,000 barrels of crude a day that it can’t refine?

•A lot of money is being spent to push a Petroleum Industry Bill that both local and foreign operators agree is detrimental to the sector.

•Our refineries continue to operate at 22% capacity while billions are earmarked for upgrades and Turnaround Maintenance. In 2011, the Minister of Petroleum Resources said contracts had been signed with the original builders to revamp the refineries. One year later, no work has been done on any of them and upgrades are yet again in the 2013 budget.

The Federal Government has played fast and loose with terms. In certain contexts, it talks about “deregulation”; in others, “fuel subsidy removal”. The simple truth is if the sector is deregulated, the price of PMS will stabilise amidst competing forces. We were clear about this last year, but that was not the time to have a discussion about a deregulation plan. Our demand was clear — return to N65 and then present a deregulation plan that would, by default, include the removal of subsidy. Removal of subsidy is one element of the deregulation process and certainly not the first step.

One year later, there is no such plan to deregulate the sector. When we got serious about fixing power, a road map was created that provided a step-by-step process to privatise the power sector. While the road map hasn’t been implemented flawlessly, we continue to stumble through with improvements in certain areas.

Late last year, a Niger Delta elder statesman said the oil producing states had received over N7tn ($45bn) in 13 years with nothing to show for it. In our 50 years since independence, it’s estimated that $400bn of oil revenue has been stolen or misspent. If we are really serious about accelerating growth in other areas of the economy and taking advantage of our youth bulge, it would do us well to get serious about deregulating this sector so that states can stop coming cap in hand every month to Abuja for their share of the national cake.

It’ll force states to get more creative about creating wealth and reorient public servants about the true meaning of ‘service’ that is not dependent on endless access to cash.

Fuel scarcity and increased fuel prices — we hope the Federal Government does not take the easy route and push Nigerians to the wall yet again.

Deregulate this sector already!

•Ms. Adamolekun is the National Coordinator of Enough-is-Enough, Nigeria

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